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Metric details

Every pilot's reading on every behaviour, family by family.

Analysis computed

best: could be chance (0.41)

best: clear pattern (0.76)

#PilotOut-climbCore sLeaveRateKept%TopOut%Round
1Andy Schmidt71 (17 shared climbs)52 (14 climbs ≥ 60 s)0.9 (7 climbs ≥ 90 s)50 (4/8 circling bouts led to climbs)94 (mean on-course altitude 60% of band)0.19 (80 circles, 9% left)
2Dean Bayly74 (34 shared climbs)45 (19 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.3 (10 climbs ≥ 90 s)63 (5/8 circling bouts led to climbs)55 (mean on-course altitude 52% of band)0.19 (154 circles, 8% left)
3Damian Hamilton68 (33 shared climbs)35 (22 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.0 (15 climbs ≥ 90 s)78 (7/9 circling bouts led to climbs)70 (mean on-course altitude 60% of band)0.15 (244 circles, 10% left)
4James Wynd56 (15 shared climbs)55 (27 climbs ≥ 60 s)0.3 (18 climbs ≥ 90 s)60 (12/20 circling bouts led to climbs)49 (mean on-course altitude 41% of band)0.35 (32 circles, 3% left)
5Andy Phillips72 (20 shared climbs)40 (12 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.4 (8 climbs ≥ 90 s)46 (6/13 circling bouts led to climbs)80 (mean on-course altitude 57% of band)0.20 (148 circles, 39% left)
6James McGinty99 (2 shared climbs)49 (5 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.7 (3 climbs ≥ 90 s)70 (7/10 circling bouts led to climbs)10 (mean on-course altitude 8% of band)0.20 (60 circles, 23% left)
7Curtis Greenwood60 (12 shared climbs)37 (9 climbs ≥ 60 s)0.9 (5 climbs ≥ 90 s)38 (3/8 circling bouts led to climbs)49 (mean on-course altitude 34% of band)0.13 (160 circles, 56% left)
8Anthony Meechan5 (1 shared climb)20 (1 climb ≥ 60 s)0.4 (1 climb ≥ 90 s)0 (0/4 circling bouts led to climbs) (1 circles, 100% left)
9Mark Tyminski84 (5 shared climbs)2 (3 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.4 (2 climbs ≥ 90 s)11 (mean on-course altitude 3% of band)0.17 (53 circles, 0% left)
10Dave Moore78 (14 shared climbs)66 (8 climbs ≥ 60 s)1.3 (6 climbs ≥ 90 s)0 (0/3 circling bouts led to climbs)0.18 (105 circles, 19% left)
11Andrew Berenyi56 (1 climb ≥ 60 s)0.25 (45 circles, 96% left)
12Hayden Emms29 (1 climb ≥ 60 s)0.19 (29 circles, 100% left)
13Mark Wallace19 (5 shared climbs)0.16 (11 circles, 0% left)

Share of lift turned in that was kept as a climb

Measured in percent · no expected direction

How selective the pilot is about the lift they stop for. Each period of circling of 30 s or more after the start counts as lift that the pilot sampled. If the period overlaps a detected thermal, the pilot kept that lift. If it does not, they turned a few circles and left it. The value is the percentage kept. A low value means they are selective. A high value means they keep almost every climb they turn in. There is no expected direction: selection wins on a strong day and wastes time on a weak one.

Acceptance by hour

HourMedian accepted (%)pilots
751
588
546
422

Median per-pilot acceptance %, bucketed by the hour (competition time zone).

How round and consistent the circles were

Measured in ratio · no expected direction

Whether the pilot flies clean, repeatable circles, or moves around the thermal. We fit each detected circle by least squares. The RMS fit error divided by the fitted radius measures how round the turn was. The value is the median over all of the circles of the pilot. A lower value means smoother and more consistent turns. There is no expected direction: a rough trace can be a pilot chasing a drifting or broken core rather than a pilot circling badly.

Turn direction across the field: 27% left (1122 circles).

best: could be chance (0.31)

best: clear pattern (0.73)

best: clear pattern (0.83)

#PilotInGaggle%Marked%
1Andy Schmidt90 (0/10 climbs marked)
2Dean Bayly2822 (5/23 climbs marked)
3Damian Hamilton813 (4/31 climbs marked)
4James Wynd20 (0/19 climbs marked)
5Andy Phillips2614 (3/22 climbs marked)
6James McGinty00 (0/22 climbs marked)
7Curtis Greenwood00 (0/7 climbs marked)
8Anthony Meechan0
9Mark Tyminski0
10Dave Moore0
11Andrew Berenyi
12Hayden Emms
13Mark Wallace

Time spent flying with a gaggle

Measured in percent · no expected direction

Whether the pilot raced with other pilots or alone. The value is the share of their flying time after the start inside a detected gaggle, that is, clustered with one other racing pilot or more on the shared time grid. There is no expected direction. A gaggle increases the power to search for lift, but it also holds a pilot to its own speed. The sign of the correlation says which of the two occurred here.

6 gaggle episodes detected (peak size 2 pilots).

best: too few pilots (0.80)

#PilotStartDlyTimeLostBehindSpare mFinalGl
1Andy Schmidt000.0295
2Dean Bayly019515.87712.91 (left last climb 4.0 km out at 1650 m)
3Damian Hamilton059526.96432.70 (left last climb 3.8 km out at 1694 m)
4James Wynd081030.68652.34 (left last climb 3.7 km out at 1861 m)
5Andy Phillips081631.24712.56 (left last climb 3.3 km out at 1571 m)
6James McGinty0313
7Curtis Greenwood00
8Anthony Meechan00
9Mark Tyminski0
10Dave Moore0
11Andrew Berenyi
12Hayden Emms
13Mark Wallace

How long after the gate opened the pilot started

Measured in seconds · lower is better

Every second between the opening of the gate and the crossing of the start line is a second lost for nothing. The value is the seconds from the start gate taken to the scored SSS crossing. On an elapsed-time task, the pilot’s own crossing is the reference, so the delay is 0 by definition. The start table adds the crossing altitude, and the distance behind the leading pilot who had already started.

Start execution

PilotDelayAlt mBand %Behind km
Andy Schmidt0:001704618.0
Dean Bayly0:001878736.9
Damian Hamilton0:002004818.5
James Wynd0:001411427.7
Andy Phillips0:0023461037.3
James McGinty0:001364390.0
Curtis Greenwood0:001487476.5
Anthony Meechan0:001372402.7
Mark Tyminski0:001305359.1
Dave Moore0:001954786.6

Delay = gate taken → SSS crossing. Behind km = extra distance to the next turnpoint vs the furthest-along already-started pilot at the moment of this start (time grid).

Race time lost against the fastest pilots, leg by leg

Measured in seconds · lower is better

For each completed speed-section leg, we compare the leg time of the pilot with the mean of the top 10 pilots by rank who completed that leg. Only the losses count, and we add them together. The sum of the leg times is the race time, and the rank defines the reference, so this metric follows the result by construction. Read the waterfall table, which shows every leg against the task winner, for the diagnosis. Do not read the correlation as a finding.

-0:25SSS→TINTAL+15:11TINTAL→MTMITA+1:01MTMITA→ESS
Dean Bayly, over 3 compared legs: +15:47 overall. — marks a leg the pilot or the winner did not complete; the table below has every pilot.

Leg waterfall — leg time vs the task winner

PilotSSS→TINTALTINTAL→MTMITAMTMITA→ESSTotal
Andy Schmidt+0:00+0:00+0:00+0:00
Dean Bayly-0:25+15:11+1:01+15:47
Damian Hamilton+15:37+9:56+1:22+26:54
James Wynd+19:55+10:59-0:15+30:39
Andy Phillips+4:36+25:25+1:09+31:09
James McGinty+11:38+11:38
Curtis Greenwood-0:39-0:39
Anthony Meechan+0:37+0:37

Each cell is the leg time of this pilot minus the leg time of the winner. A + value is slower than the winner, and a − value is faster. A — means that the pilot or the winner did not complete the leg.

The scalar metric instead adds the losses against the mean of the top 10 pilots who completed each leg. A leg flown faster than that reference contributes 0.

Race time behind the leader at ESS

Measured in minutes · lower is better

At each speed-section turnpoint, we compare the elapsed race time of the pilot, which is the reaching time minus their own start, with the fastest pilot to that turnpoint. The value is the minutes behind at ESS. It follows the final rank almost exactly, because this metric is the sanity check of the evaluation.

A line that stops early is a pilot who landed. The top 5 are coloured; the table below has every pilot.

Horserace — minutes behind the leader at each turnpoint

PilotELLIOTTINTALMTMITACORRYCORRY
Andy Schmidt0.00.70.00.00.0
Dean Bayly0.00.214.815.815.8
Damian Hamilton0.016.325.526.926.9
James Wynd0.020.630.930.630.6
Andy Phillips0.05.230.031.231.2
James McGinty0.012.3
Curtis Greenwood0.00.0
Anthony Meechan0.01.3
Mark Tyminski0.0
Dave Moore0.0

The elapsed race time, from the pilot’s own start, minus the fastest elapsed time to that turnpoint. A — means that the pilot did not reach the turnpoint.

Arriving at ESS with height to spare

Measured in metres · lower is better

Height still available at ESS that the pilot no longer needed. That altitude was available for more speed, and the pilot did not use it. The value is the altitude at ESS minus the altitude needed to glide to goal at the standard glide ratio of the sport, which is 5.0 for HG and 4.0 for PG (S7F §13.4.6). A large positive margin means the pilot arrived too high. A margin near zero means they flew the final glide with little height to spare.

ESS altitude margin over final glide: top-10 median 643 m (n=5).